Saturday, December 10, 2016

So Excised

A whole four years ago I tried to contribute to a discussion on the price of beer in New Zealand with this piece. As an aside in that I wondered whether it would be more fair for everyone if excise tax were charged at the point of sale rather than when alcoholic beverages enter the supply chain.
Four years later I’ve been thinking about that idea a bit more and it still seems really valid. Here’s why.

Excise tax on alcohol has an awful lot wrong with the way it’s applied. I’ll list a few here, but it’s the third one in particular that I’m gunning for:
  • it discriminates blatantly. That is, excise is charged at different rates for different drinks. To the best of my knowledge there is no evidence that a millilitre of alcohol in a whisky is more dangerous than a millilitre of alcohol in a beer. Nor that a millilitre of alcohol in a beer is more dangerous than a millilitre of alcohol in a wine. But our excise rates are calculated as if that is the case. It seems obvious then that what our excise rules are doing is profiling the consumers of these different kinds of beverage and intentionally penalising one category of consumers more than another. If only someone’s choice of drink correlated with religion or sexuality – then the way we apply excise would breach the Human Rights Act. (In fact, if I could suggest that the preferential treatment given to wine drinkers has to do with wine’s biblical/Judaeo-Christian history, then maybe this is a form of religious discrimination. Any lawyers out there want to do some pro bono, human rights work?)
  • It assumes that all alcohol entering the supply chain gets consumed. Brewers and other producers have to pay excise whether the beverages they make are consumed or not. If drinks sit on a shelf without being sold for so long that they have to be dumped, no-one gets an excise refund. If drinks are spilled, lost, broken or boiled off in a casserole the naughty tax is still paid. This is even though excise tax is supposed to be a brake on alcohol abuse. As far as I can tell the only way you get your excise refunded is if you export the goods or show that they were somehow tainted at the time of production. (Going off and becoming undrinkable doesn’t count.)
  • Finally, as dscussed below, the financial burden of excise tax is multiplied in the supply chain. 
Now it’s easy for anyone to look up the rates that excise is charged at, look at the ABV and size of the drink in front of them, and work out, for example, that a 330ml bottle of 5% beer has had 47 cents of excise applied to it. But that would only tell half the story.

Let’s assume that that 330ml bottle of 5% ABV beer was sold by a brewery to a distributor for $3 (excluding GST) and by the distributor to a bar for $3.60 (excluding GST) and by the bar to a consumer for $10 (including GST). And yes, for the distributor and bar to stay in business, those are the kinds of margin they need to charge.

It’s common to assume that the amount of excise that the consumer has effectively paid is still 47 cents. But imagine if that excise hadn’t been applied back at the brewery. The brewery might have sold the beer to the distributor for $2.53. Assuming the distributor applies that same margin as before, they’d be selling it for $3.03. And assuming that the bar applies the same margin then they’d be selling it for $8.42. A whole $1.58 less. So has excise cost the consumer $0.47 or $1.58? I think the answer is $1.58. What has been passed onto the consumer is not only the cost of the excise, but the cost of everyone in the supply chain adding their percentage to it.

The supposed purpose of excise tax is to levy consumers of this dangerous product (some more than others) and collect the income and put it to good use. But if the effect of excise is to put a drink up by $1.58, yet only $0.47 is being collected in tax, something is going wrong.

What’s going wrong is that excise is supposed to be a levy on alcohol consumption, but it’s collected at the point of production (or for imported goods at the time of entry into New Zealand). And where is the extra money being charged to the consumer going? It’s going to whoever funds the purchases made by the companies in that supply chain. You might think that it’s the operators of those businesses. But it’s just as likely to be banks. I.e. excise tax inflates the cost of buying stock for distributors and retailers and they fund that purchasing from their working capital, which may be their investors’ money, or may be a bank’s money.

This makes it sound like this is a windfall for those parties funding this money-go-round. But in reality I think that they would prefer it if these goods were cheaper and the whole business didn’t have the added risk of paying all this tax in advance.

Now in the 2015/16 year, New Zealand collected $947M in alcohol excise tax. Most of this would have been purchased at off-licences rather an on-licences. I’m going to make a wild guess that 80% of alcohol is sold at off-licences.

Markups at bottle stores and super markets are much lower than in bars. By the time a bottle of some kind of alcohol is sold at an off-licence, it’s probably going for about 50% more than the producer sold it for. But bars and restaurants probably sell goods for 250% more than the producer sold it at.

Turning these percentages into dollars, I estimate that every year, excise tax gets inflated by $380M for alcohol sold through bottle stores and by $470M for alcohol sold through bars and restaurants. That’s $850M sucked out of the pockets of New Zealand consumers because that $947M of excise tax is levied at the point of production, not at the point of consumption.

The alternative then, is to levy excise tax at the point of retail sale. Even saying it sounds intrusive, but I think a little scrutiny shows it’s actually quite workable. It is the 21st century after all and we have this thing called electronic point of sale software. We use one at Hashigo Zake called Vend. It knows everything we buy and everything we sell. I’m sure that its developers would be happy to add functionality – for a fee – that records the serving sizes and ABVs of all the products we bring in then tells us and Inland Revenue or Customs the excise payable on any and every sale. It’s only a fraction more demanding than calculating GST. It would mean that retailers would never pay excise, only collect it and forward it. And because they aren’t paying excise when buying stock there’s no need to add a margin to it.

There’s $850M to gain every year by doing it this way. That gain can be split. I.e. excise tax could be increased, perhaps by bringing the rates for wine into line with beer and cider, so the tax take goes up. But prices to consumers would fall at the same time. Outlets could pocket a share of the savings to fund the extra functionality needed in point of sale systems. I believe “win win” is the appropriate cliché.

Whole industries (brewing, distribution, hospitality) would be less risky. Consumers would save money.

But of course it won’t happen. I’ll try to second guess some of the reasons.
  • Firstly the idea of making excise tax collection more efficient and passing on savings will appal the neo-prohibitionists. They want to punish us for liking a drink. It probably pleases them that an inefficient system needlessly adds cost.
  • Secondly "it’s just not done this way". Customs collect excise, not Inland Revenue. How would it be policed? But these are insignificant issues. Every business is already a tax collector (GST, PAYE). For decades we've even been using the tax system to collect, of all things, student loan payments. Every vendor of alcohol already needs a licence and is monitored by city councils and police. The bottom line is that we can organise the collection of taxation any way that we, as a nation, see fit, and a change like this is no more challenging than raising the GST rate.
Now my $850M figure is a bit of a guess. And maybe for bars and bottle stores to pass on everything they save from buying excise-free stock is a little hopeful. Nevertheless I think my point about this and other absurdities in our excise taxation stands. And if we weren’t so ridiculously Victorian in our attitudes to alcohol we’d be fixing it.

3 comments:

  1. And maybe for bars and bottle stores to pass on everything they save from buying excise-free stock is a little hopeful.

    Well, maybe, but at least if they didn't, we could see focused whinging, aimed at the bars who were "ripping off" customers, instead of it all being directed at breweries as it seems to be now whenever there's any online discussion of beer pricing.

    Anyway, spot on as always Dom. Up next, in an adult society where we should be responsible for our own choices, should excise even exist?

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    1. awww man, don't make me come out with the subtext.

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  2. I don't think they're so much neo-prohibitionists as Doctors and Lawyers who see themselves as a new secular priesthood uniquely qualified to be the moral guidance for society. You see the same secular-Christian themes emerging in third wave feminism. You should never underestimate the (displaced) Calvinist zeal that remains in western societies.

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